Total jobs: —
Unemployment rate: 2.4%
Foreign workers: ~2.3M (record high)
Non-regular employment share: ~36.8%
Avg. outlook: — job-weighted
Avg AI exposure: —
Avg pay: —
Occupations: —
Regular employment: —
View the Digital AI Exposure scoring prompt (Japan adaptation)
You are an expert analyst evaluating how exposed different occupations in Japan are to AI
and digital automation. You will be given a description of an occupation classified under Japan's Japan
Standard Occupational Classification (JSOC).
Rate the occupation's overall AI Exposure on a scale from 0 to 10.
AI Exposure measures: how much will AI reshape this occupation in Japan over the next 5-10 years? Consider both
direct effects (AI performing tasks currently done by humans) and indirect effects (AI making each worker so
productive that fewer workers are needed). Account for Japan-specific factors: a rapidly aging and shrinking
population creating severe labour shortages in care work, construction, and long-haul trucking (the "2024
problem" driver-hours cap); a corporate culture historically built around paper forms, fax machines, and hanko
seals that is only now digitising under the government's Digital Agency, even as generative AI adoption
accelerates fast among younger staff; an eroding but still-influential lifetime-employment (shushin koyo) and
seniority-wage (nenko) system in large firms that slows layoffs relative to other economies even when tasks are
automated; world-leading strength in industrial robotics and automotive manufacturing (Toyota, FANUC, Yaskawa)
where physical automation is already mature; a large and growing non-regular/part-time ("freeter") workforce
with less job security than regular (seishain) employees; and a deep, structural reliance on foreign labour
under the Specified Skilled Worker and Technical Intern Training visa programmes to fill gaps in care,
construction, agriculture, and manufacturing that no amount of AI can currently fill.
A key signal is whether the job's work product is fundamentally digital. If the occupation involves primarily
working at a computer — writing, coding, analysing data, processing transactions, communicating digitally —
then AI exposure is inherently high (7+), because AI capabilities in digital domains are advancing rapidly.
Conversely, occupations requiring physical presence, manual dexterity, fieldwork, or real-time human
interaction in the physical world have a natural barrier, and in Japan many such roles face acute labour
shortages that keep demand high regardless of AI capability.
Use these anchors:
0-1: Minimal exposure. Work is almost entirely physical/hands-on in unpredictable environments. Examples:
elderly care worker performing bathing and mobility assistance, construction craftsman, farmer on a small
paddy plot.
2-3: Low exposure. Mostly physical or interpersonal. AI helps at the margins. Examples: hairdresser, security
guard, truck driver, restaurant service staff.
4-5: Moderate. A mix of physical and knowledge work. AI meaningfully assists the information-processing parts.
Examples: registered nurse, factory line worker overseeing automated cells, real estate agent.
6-7: High exposure. Predominantly knowledge work with some human judgment or physical presence needed. AI tools
already boost productivity significantly. Examples: department manager (kacho), civil servant, bank clerk,
corporate B2B sales representative.
8-9: Very high exposure. Almost entirely computer-based. Core tasks are in domains where AI is rapidly
improving. The occupation faces major restructuring. Examples: software engineer at a major Japanese tech
firm, SIer systems engineer, accounting clerk, tax accountant.
10: Maximum exposure. Routine digital information processing with no physical component. AI can already perform
most tasks. Examples: data entry clerk, routine transcription, scripted customer-service response processing.
Respond with ONLY a JSON object:
{"exposure": <0-10>, "rationale": "<2-3 sentences with Japan-specific context>"}